FANDOM


Public advisoryEdit

TROPICAL STORM LINFA PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 6

WIKI-HURRICANES FORECASTING CENTER

6:00 PM JST FRI JUL 03 2015

...LINFA NEARLY A TYPHOON...

SUMMARY OF 6:00 PM JST...09:00 UTC...INFORMATION

-------------------------------------------------------------------

LOCATION...15.6N 126.8E

CENTER POSITION CONFIDENCE: LOW

ABOUT 300 MI...550 KM ENE OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...55 KT...65 MPH...100 KM/H

MINIMUM BAROMETRIC PRESSURE...988 MB...29.47 INCHES

PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW AT 6 KT...7 MPH...11 KM/H

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK

---------------------------------------------

At 6:00 pm JST, the center of Tropical Storm Linfa was situated near 15.6N 126.8E, or about 350 miles (550 km) east-northeast of Manila, Philippines. Maximum sustained winds were 55 knots (65 mph, 100 km/h), with higher gusts. The minimum barometric pressure was 998 millibars (hPa; 29.47 inHg), and the cyclone was tracking west-northwest at 6 knots (7 mph, 11 km/h). Atmospheric conditions are expected to be marginally conducive for slow development as this system tracks slowly toward the west-northwest or northwest over the next few days, and Linfa could become a typhoon tomorrow. Linfa is expected to begin weakening as it executes a turn toward the northeast at the end of the forecast period.

NEXT ADVISORY

-------------------

Next complete advisory at 12:00 am JST.

$$

Forecaster YE

DiscussionEdit

TROPICAL STORM LINFA DISCUSSION NUMBER 6

WIKI-HURRICANES FORECASTING CENTER

6:00 PM JST FRI JUL 03 2015

Tropical Storm Linfa has become much better organized this evening. A 4z DT gave a T3.5/55 knts, and that is being used as the intensity. The new intensity forecast has been elevated to 55 knts based on that, 50 knt winds in a 0134z ASCAt-B pass, and rising T-numbers from SABm JTWC, and UW-CIMSS ADT. The new forecast track has shifted north and east, and thus keeps it offshore now. This is because the recent GFS runs have sifted towards the ECMWF solution, which keeps it offshore. The intensity forecast has been revised upward based on the recent deepening and is on the high end of the guidance envelope. Weakening is expected after day 2 due to land interaction, and the new forecast calls for Linfa to weaken to a tropical depression by day 5.

INIT 03/0900Z 15.6N 126.8E 55 KT 65 MPH

12H 03/1800Z 16.6N 126.5E 60 KT 70 MPH

24H 04/0600Z 17.1N 125.7E 65 KT 75 MPH

36H 04/1800Z 17.4N 124.7E 70 KT 80 MPH

48H 05/0600Z 17.5N 123.9E 75 KT 85 MPH...NEAR LUZON

72H 06/0600Z 18.4N 121.3E 55 KT 65 MPH...NEAR LUZON

96H 07/0600Z 19.5N 121.0E 40 KT 45 MPH...OVER LUZON STRAIT

120H 08/000Z 21.8N 122.5E 30 KT 35 MPH

$$

Forecaster YE

Ad blocker interference detected!


Wikia is a free-to-use site that makes money from advertising. We have a modified experience for viewers using ad blockers

Wikia is not accessible if you’ve made further modifications. Remove the custom ad blocker rule(s) and the page will load as expected.