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Public advisoryEdit

TROPICAL DEPRESSION KUJIRA PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 16

WIKI-HURRICANES FORECASTING CENTER

12:00 AM JST THU JUN 25 2015

... KUJIRA FADING OVER VIETNAM ...

SUMMARY OF 12:00 AM JST...15:00 UTC...INFORMATION

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LOCATION... 21.9N 105.9E

CENTER POSITION CONFIDENCE: ± 25 MI... 40 KM

ABOUT 35 MI...55 KM N OF HANOI, VIETNAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...25 KT...30 MPH...45 KM/H

MINIMUM BAROMETRIC PRESSURE...995 MB...29.39 INHG

PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW AT 9 KT...10 MPH...19 KM/H

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK

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At 12:00 am JST, the center of Tropical Depression Kujira was located near 21.9N, 107.5E, or about 35 miles (55 kilometers) north of Hanoi, Vietnam. Maximum sustained winds were 25 knots (30 mph, 45 km/h), with higher gusts. The minimum barometric pressure was 995 mb (hPa; 29.39 inHg), and the system was moving northwest at 9 knots (10 mph, 19 km/h). Kujira is expected to continue weakening over land.

NEXT ADVISORY

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Next complete advisory at 06:00 am JST.

$$ Forecaster TheAustinMan

DiscussionEdit

TROPICAL DEPRESSION KUJIRA PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 16

WIKI-HURRICANES FORECASTING CENTER

12:00 AM JST THU JUN 25 2015

Kujira has been steadily weakening over land. After a final burst of convective activity over the center a little bit after landfall, convection has been waning over the past few hours as the combination of land interaction and wind shear is working to disorganize Kujira. Winds at Hanoi to the south of the center have failed to exceed 20 knots even under the deepest convection, so the intensity for this advisory has been lowered down to 25 knots, making Kujira a tropical depression. Microwave imagery indicates that the center has become very ill-defined over northern Vietnam. Kujira is not expected to last long as it moves towards the northwest and over rough terrain; the current track forecast continues to depict weakening and dissipation in short time.

INIT 24/1500Z 21.9N 105.9E 25 KT 30 MPH

12H 25/0000Z 22.1N 105.2W 15 KT 20 MPH

24H 25/1200Z ... DISSIPATED

$$

Forecaster TheAustinMan

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