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Public advisoryEdit

TROPICAL STORM KUJIRA PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 15

WIKI-HURRICANES FORECASTING CENTER

6:00 PM JST WED JUN 24 2015

...KUJIRA WEAKENING OVER LAND..

SUMMARY OF 12:00 PM JST...03:00 UTC...INFORMATION

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LOCATION... 20.8N 106.4E

CENTER POSITION CONFIDENCE: VERY LOOW

ABOUT 40 MI.. 65 KM SE OF HAI PHONG, VIETNAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 KT...40 MPH...65 KM/H

MINIMUM BAROMETRIC PRESSURE...994 MB...29.30 INHG

PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW AT 4 KT...5 MPH...8 KM/H

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK

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At 6:00 pm JST, the center of Tropical Storm Kujira was located near 20.8N, 106.4E, or about 40 miles (65 kilometers) south of Hai Phong, Vietnam. Maximum sustained winds were 35 knots (40 mph, 65 km/h), with higher gusts. The minimum barometric pressure was 994 mb (hPa; 29.30 inHg), and the system was moving west-northwest at 4 knots (5 mph, 8 km/h).

NEXT ADVISORY

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Next complete advisory at 12:00 am JST.

$$

Forecaster YE

DiscussionEdit

TROPICAL STORM KUJIRA PUBLIC DISCUSSION NUMBER 15

WIKI-HURRICANES FORECASTING CENTER

6:00 PM JST WED JUN 24 2015

Tropical Storm Kujira has moved inland this afternoon. The intensity of landfall has been set at a generous 45 knts at around 0500 UTC, since estimates never supported anything higher, though I would not be surprised if the winds were a little higher. An inland decay rate supports cutting the initial intensity to 35 knts. The forecast track is an update from the previous advisory. The new forecast shows a faster weakening rate than the old, and has Kujira ceasing to exist at this time tomorrow.

INIT 24/0900Z 20.8N 106.4E 35 KT 40 MPH

12H 24/1800Z 21.8N 105.5E 20 KT 25 MPH...INLAND

24H 25/0600Z ...DISSIPATED


$$

Forecaster YE

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