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Public advisoryEdit

TROPICAL STORM KUJIRA PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 14

WIKI-HURRICANES FORECASTING CENTER

12:00 PM JST WED JUN 24 2015

...KUJIRA ABOUT TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE VIETNAM COASTLINE...

SUMMARY OF 12:00 PM JST...03:00 UTC...INFORMATION

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LOCATION... 20.3N 106.8E

CENTER POSITION CONFIDENCE: GOOD

ABOUT 40 MI.. 65 KM S OF HAI PHONG, VIETNAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 KT...50 MPH...85 KM/H

MINIMUM BAROMETRIC PRESSURE...986 MB...29.12 INHG

PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW AT 4 KT...5 MPH...8 KM/H

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK

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At 12:00 pm JST, the center of Tropical Storm Kujira was located near 20.3N, 106.8E, or about 40 miles (65 kilometers) south of Hai Phong, Vietnam. Maximum sustained winds were 45 knots (50 mph, 85 km/h), with higher gusts. The minimum barometric pressure was 986 mb (hPa; 29.12 inHg), and the system was moving west-northwest at 4 knots (5 mph, 8 km/h).

NEXT ADVISORY

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Next complete advisory at 6:00 pm JST.

$$

Forecaster TAWX14

DiscussionEdit

TROPICAL STORM KUJIRA PUBLIC DISCUSSION NUMBER 14

WIKI-HURRICANES FORECASTING CENTER

12:00 PM JST WED JUN 24 2015

Tropical Storm Kujira is moments away from landfall this evening. Conventional satellite imagery continues to show a fairly disorganized cyclone, with an irregular central dense overcast feature evident. However, a series of microwave passes around 0z indicated the presence of ragged inner features. As such, the initial intensity has been raised slightly to 45 kt, which may be conservative in the absence of any ASCAT passes. No further intensification is likely as Kujira moves into Vietnam, and instead rapid weakening is expected. The system is forecast to degenerate into a remnant low within 24 hours and dissipate within 36 hours, if not sooner.


INIT 24/0300Z 20.3N 106.8E 45 KT 50 MPH

12H 24/1200Z 21.0N 105.9E 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND

24H 25/0000Z 22.5N 105.3E 20 KT 25 MPH...INLAND/REMNT LOW

36H 25/1200Z...DISSIPATED


$$

Forecaster TAWX14

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