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Public advisoryEdit

TROPICAL STORM CARLOS ADVISORY NUMBER 28

WIKI-HURRICANES FORECAST CENTER

4:00 AM CDT WED JUN 17 2015

...CARLOS FADING FAST..

SUMMARY OF 4:00 AM CDT...09:00 UTC...INFORMATION

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LOCATION... 18.7N 104.7W

ABOUT 50 MI...85 KM SW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 KT...60 MPH...90 KM/H

MINIMUM BAROMETRIC PRESSURE... 994 MB...29.36 INCHES

PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 35 DEGREES AT 5 KT...6 MPH...9 KM/H

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK

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At 10:00 am CDT, the center of Tropical Storm Carlos was located at 18.7N, 104.7W, or about 50 miles (85 km) southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico. Maximum sustained winds were 50 knots (60 mph, 90 km/h), with higher gusts. The minimum barometric pressure was 1004 millibars (hPa; 29.36 inHg), and the system had turned toward the northeast at 5 knots (6 mph, 9 km/h). Increasingly unfavorable environmental conditions are expected to cause Carlos to continue to weaken at a rapid pace, and dissipation is expected within 12 to 24 hours.

NEXT ADVISORY

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Next complete advisory at 10:00 am CDT.

$$

Forecaster YE

DiscussionEdit

TROPICAL STORM CARLOS DISCUSSION NUMBER 28

WIKI-HURRICANES FORECAST CENTER

4:00 AM CDT WED JUN 17 2015

Carlos has fallen apart the past few hours, at a rate typical for it's size. Thus, the intensity is lowered to 50 knts, still a bit below CI values from TAFB and SAB. The new forecast is an update from the previous one in track, but shows dissipation much faster.

INIT 17/0900Z 18.7N 104.7W 50 KT 60 MPH

12H 17/1800Z 19.1N 105.1W 35 KT 40 MPH

24H 18/0600Z...DISSIPATED

$$

Forecaster TAWX14

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