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Public advisoryEdit

TROPICAL DEPRESSION BILL ADVISORY NUMBER 15

WIKI-HURRICANES FORECAST CENTER

1000PM CDT FRI JUN 19 2015

... BILL STILL A TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER NORTHWESTERN ARKANSAS ...

SUMMARY OF 1000PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION

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LOCATION... 35.7N, 93.6W

ABOUT 100MI... 160KM NW OF LITTLE ROCK, ARKANSAS

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...15 KT...30 MPH...50 KM/H

MINIMUM BAROMETRIC PRESSURE... 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES

PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE AT 9 KT...10MPH...17 KM/H

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK

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At 1000 pm CDT, the center of Tropical Depression Bill was located at 35.7N, 93.6W, or about 100 miles (160 kilometers) northwest of Little Rock, Arkansas. Maximum sustained winds were 15 knots (30 mph, 50 km/h), with higher gusts. The minimum barometric pressure was 1005 millibars (hPa; 29.68 inHg), and the system was moving east-northeast at 9 knots (10 mph, 17 km/h). Bill is expected to gradually phase into a remnant area of low pressure as it traverses east-northeastward over the next two days.

NEXT ADVISORY

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Next complete advisory at 400 am CDT.

$$

Forecaster TheAustinMan

DiscussionEdit

TROPICAL DEPRESSION BILL DISCUSSION NUMBER 15

WIKI-HURRICANES FORECAST CENTER

1000PM CDT FRI JUN 19 2015

Bill has now moved into northwestern Arkansas. Though the radar appearance of the tropical depression remains ragged and lackluster, ground observations indicate that the circulation remains closed and somewhat well-defined; as a result, Bill will be kept a tropical depression this advisory. Winds remain rather weak at the surface, and as such most of the impacts associated with Bill will continue to be flooding rainfall. Models remain in good agreement that Bill will continue moving east-northeast, gradually accelerating as Bill transitions into a remnant area of low pressure.

INIT 19/0300Z 35.7N 93.6W 15KT 20MPH

12HR 19/1200Z 36.0N 92.1W 15KT 20MPH

24HR 20/0000Z 36.5N 90.5W 15KT 20MPH

36HR 20/1200Z 37.2N 89.1W 15KT 20MPH

48HR 21/0000Z ... MERGED WITH EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE

$$

Forecaster TheAustinMan

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